Niels van Oort
Potential of on-demand services for urban travel (Flex-OV)
On-demand mobility services are promising to revolutionise urban travel, but preliminary studies are showing that they may actually increase the total vehicle miles travelled, thereby worsening road congestion in cities. In this study, we assess the demand for on-demand mobility services in urban areas,using a stated preference survey, to understand the potential impact of introducing on-demand services on the current modal split. The survey was carried out in the Netherlands and offered respondents a choice between bike, car, public transport and on-demand services. 1,063 valid responses are analysed with a multinomial logit and a latent class choice model. By means of the latter, we uncover four distinctive groups of travellers based on the observed choice behaviour. The majority of the sample (55%) are avid cyclists and do not see on-demand mobility as an alternative for making urban trips. Two classes (27% and 9% of the sample) would potentially use on-demand services: the former is fairly timesensitive and would thus use on-demand service if they were sufficiently fast. The latter class however is highly cost-sensitive, and would therefore use on-demand mobility primarily if it is cheap. The fourth class (9%) shows very limited potential for using on-demand services.
Read the paper by Nejc Geržinič HERE
Amsterdam North/South metro line impact study
The four-year study conducted by TU Delft, AMS Institute and others into the transport-related, spatial and economic effects of the North/South metro line is now complete and was presented to Amsterdam’s regional and City councils end of 2021.
Find the final policy report here HERE
Find the main TU Delft research findings HERE
Find the interactive visualisations of the GVB timetable and anonymous passenger data before and after HERE
Find all research papers and reports HERE
MSc thesis Simon van Hees: Regional Travel Time and Transfer Impacts of the Noord/Zuidlijn using Interoperable Smart Card Data
‘Hubs, van belofte naar werkelijkheid’
Zijn hubs dé toekomst in de mobiliteit? Is het wel echt zo’n slimme oplossing zoals we de laatste tijd vaak horen, of is het eigenlijk alleen maar een hype? Hierover schreven Iris van Gerrevink, Roderick Tingen, Kees van Son (AT Osborne) en Niels van Oort (TU Delft) recent een artikel voor VNG Magazine en een vierdelige blogserie. Iedere blog focust op een ander type hub en geeft aanbevelingen aan beleidsmakers over hoe ze kunnen werken aan het waarmaken van de beloftes:
Artikel in VNG Magazine: “De Hubtopie”
Deel 1 door Iris van Gerrevink: Komt de hub in de buurt?
Deel 2 door Roderick Tingen: De boer op met de hub
Deel 3 door Kees van Son: De logistieke hub tegen een lading met lucht
Deel 4 door Niels van Oort: Google wat is een hub?
Ex-post evaluatie van mobiliteitshubs: Een kwalitatieve studie naar de factoren die het gebruik en de effecten van mobiliteitshubs beïnvloeden
Mobiliteitshubs zijn een veelbelovend concept dat steeds meer aandacht krijgt. Zo zijn er in de afgelopen twee jaar ongeveer 150 buurtmobiliteitshubs geopend in Nederland. Buurtmobiliteitshubs, een plek waar een aantal verschillende (deel)voertuigen worden aangeboden, worden gezien als een ondersteuner en versterker van deelmobiliteit. Zo kunnen deelmobiliteit en mobiliteitshubs aantrekkelijke alternatieven bieden voor privé voertuigen en bijdragen aan gemeentelijke beleidsdoelen. Vier grote thema’s zijn hierin te onderscheiden. Meestal gaat het over een verbetering in de openbare ruimte, duurzaamheidsdoelstellingen, reductie van privéauto’s en ambities wat betreft bereikbaarheid.
Lees meer over het onderzoek van Iris van Gerrevink in haar CVS paper en CVS presentatie.
Deelvervoer in de provincie Utrecht: het potentieel gebruik in combinatie met OV.
De provincie Utrecht wil de verwachte reizigersgroei in het OV het hoofd bieden door in te zetten op meer kwaliteit voor de reiziger, duurzame en innovatieve mobiliteits-oplossingen en per gebied te kiezen voor de meest geschikte combinatie van vervoerwijzen. Hierbij past dit gebruikersonderzoek naar hoe lokaal OV (stad- en streekvervoer met bussen en trams) en deelmobiliteit in het voor- en natransport elkaar kunnen versterken. Dit sluit aan op het wetenschappelijk kennishiaat; er is helaas nog weinig bekend over het gebruik van deelvervoer in multi-modale ketens.
Lees meer over dit onderzoek van Roy van Kuijk in het CVS artikel HIER en presentatie HIER
Public Transport Reliability: podcast and book chapter
This podcast and book chapter discuss the elements of service reliability, the impact of service reliability on passengers, indicators that are used to measure reliability and variability, and how to make improvements. In this episode of the podcast Niels van Oort talks about the research behind the handbook chapter, including his PhD thesis and subsequent work. Some of the topics discussed are: the factors that can impact service reliability; the need for perspectives across strategic, tactical and operational levels; and bridging the gaps between front-line staff, management and researchers. Data sets, modelling and the practicality of optimal solutions are also discussed.
Learn more via http://publictransportresearchgroup.info/portfolio-item/rt35-niels-van-oort-public-transport-reliability/
Insights into the bicycle-train combination: welcome on board!
The bicycle as an access and egress mode to and from train stations offers multiple (societal) benefits. A recent study shows that > 60% of the Dutch population who use the combined mode, actually do have the availability of a car, but experience more benefits by using the bicycle+train combination. International studies show that the introduction of shared bicycle systems enabled a shift from car up to 20%. A strong relation with public transport was recommended.
Next to the benefits for the passenger, societal benefits are also widely, namely regarding accessibility, health, safety and sustainability. To conclude, good access and egress facilities also enable to improve the efficiency and quality of public transport networks.
However, good implementation requires attention to up to 40 factors, ranging to safe cycling routes, user characteristics and related preferences and quality of public transport and competing modes. To learn about these and overcome the barriers, we discuss multiple aspects of the combination in detail.
Find the presentation at the European Transport Conference HERE
Find our blog HERE
Standing E-Scooters, what to expect?
Standing E-scooters are an emerging mode of transport, for which shared e-scooter-suppliers claim that it is part of the solution for a sustainable and liveable city. However, little is known about the impact of these vehicles that can be expected when e-scooters are launched. In this paper we show the results of a research exploring impacts and supporting implementation in the Netherlands, also useful for other cities and countries that consider introduction of e-scooters.
Learn more via the presentation of Gijs Alberts at the European Transport Conference (ETC) HERE
Covid-19 and train travel behavior
To gain insights into passenger behavior during and after the pandemic, NS and Delft University of Technology organized a longitudinal survey with the goal to capture behavior, attitudes and intentions related to train usage. Five surveys were held between April 2020 and April 2021, involving 23,000-47,000 passengers each. The results provide valuable, quantitative insights that help to recover and rethink public transport after the pandemic, for instance by adjusted planning, design and operations.
Find the insights presented at the European Transport Conference 2021 in:
Find all output of this ongoing project: HERE